Pages

April 17, 2006

Growing Pains of the (Video) Web

I'm seeing more and more articles about Network costs and possible Internet tiering - ranging from P2P costs and BitTorrent (courtesy of slashdot) to the "free ride" the "New Media" conglomerates of the Internet are getting on other people's backbones.

In general, the Internet has thrived on a settlement-free model across the interconnected nodes of the 'Net (remember why they called it the "Web"?), and I'm generally an egalitarian, meritocratic technologist kind of fellow, so may the best products and services win - an Internet where content and application providers pay to access consumers seems like a barrier to scale and success. That is, I think a rising tide lifts all boats, so let's not open the drain :)

That said, I also think these discussions are not just the result of "old media" greedily eyeing the profit structures of companies like e-Bay, Amazon, Yahoo, Google, etc and wanted a piece of the pie. One of the ugly truths of the Internet is that we (royal Internet "We") really don't how to scale it (yet) cost effectively (read: pay for and maintain the cost structure for high quality media delivery through advertising alone).

Robert Cringley (of PBS fame)
discusses this quite a bit, in terms of technology implications - we're not even close to Broadcast TV at scale, for prime-time numbers, and falling further behind as HDTV and the like catch hold. Cable pipes are shared (traditional cable works because its essentially a multicast model), and DSL pipes don't/won't hit the scale required. Peer to Peer technologies (P2P) are a promising answer, but there's a lot of work there to pay off the Long Tail for high quality rich media content and applications, especially when you consider streaming, and not just delivery.

Of course, this also leads me to wonder (no point here - just thinking aloud):

(a) Why do most videos I watch on my laptop look like Quicktime demos from 1993?
Conversely, when I buy or download a "DVD" quality video, it takes forever - I can get it from my Cable Company's On-demand service in real-time... and is being a better TV really where this ends? Which then makes me think....

(b) its not clear to me that the Internet is ultimately a content medium - only, or even primarily. Perhaps this trend towards tiering is the first thrashings of separating "tools" from "distrubution" (or something) - or maybe we're running headlong into "economy of scale" meets "economy of specialization".

The good news is, its all just getting started - heck, we're only up to
2.0. Everybody knows it won't be any good until version 3.

75 comments:

  1. One word: Fiber-To-The-Home

    BTW, have you checked out In2TV? The episodes of Babylon 5 I watched were pretty good quality.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Trekker, yes, but its a FILE peer-to-peer system, so I couldn't watch while I downloaded as I could with iTunes (which was just a straight download) - though In2TV was higher quality, with better selection of stuff, for sure.

    Looks like the Web might catch up with DVDs just in time for HD to eclipse it...

    ReplyDelete
  3. Just read the Cringley article ... umm..so yeah we're not even close...FTTH won't help if the internet backbones don't have the capacity. But FTTH is not happening tomorrow ... its a good couple of decades out...IMHO

    ReplyDelete
  4. I would love a chance to look at your laptop and see if we can fix you streaming video experiance ;)
    Seriously though. I think that we have seen incredeble strides in what can be done with video over IP. You all are correct that its not easy to deliver high quality video to ones computer, right now. Bandwidth costs for quality video are still higer than the infrastructure can support at the same scale as TV. (Closed loop IPTV solutions aside.)
    But here is what excites me. As more and more network gets laid out. The codecs get better and better. So hopefuly as we have more space to shove bits around, the videos you are watching will get smaller in size (bitrate).
    What interstes me even more is where else can we go with streaming media. As the user is divorced from having to be on a computer with a copper cable pluged in to an IP network, where else can we watch video. The Ipod and PSP are leading the way. But the UMPCs are starting to change it even more.
    Next watching video on your cell phone (if we could get a screen bigger than your Ipod.)

    ReplyDelete
  5. :) Yeah, I agree that codecs are getting better - the problem is that our appetite for consumptions scales at comparable rates. 17+ inch screens are common, and eve laptops are turning widescreen. And with Media Center PCs powering 40in, 50in, and bigger displays, HD-DVD, HD-TV... the Internet is NOT keeping up...

    I was being a little flip with "Quicktime from '93" comment - all I meant was: still not as good as TV - and TV quality's not even a moving target!

    Perhaps though (as you point out) small screens will offset the stalemate.

    ReplyDelete
  6. BCZW9T The best blog you have!

    ReplyDelete
  7. dq7WoK Please write anything else!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Wonderful blog.

    ReplyDelete
  9. actually, that's brilliant. Thank you. I'm going to pass that on to a couple of people.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Hello all!

    ReplyDelete
  11. Thanks to author.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Wonderful blog.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Wonderful blog.

    ReplyDelete
  14. tKjBmr write more, thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Thanks to author.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Hello all!

    ReplyDelete
  17. actually, that's brilliant. Thank you. I'm going to pass that on to a couple of people.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Hello all!

    ReplyDelete
  19. Wonderful blog.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Thanks to author.

    ReplyDelete
  21. Nice Article.

    ReplyDelete
  22. Wonderful blog.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Wonderful blog.

    ReplyDelete
  24. Wonderful blog.

    ReplyDelete
  25. If ignorance is bliss, you must be orgasmic.

    ReplyDelete
  26. Give me ambiguity or give me something else.

    ReplyDelete
  27. What is a free gift ? Aren't all gifts free?

    ReplyDelete
  28. Thanks to author.

    ReplyDelete
  29. Build a watch in 179 easy steps - by C. Forsberg.

    ReplyDelete
  30. Please write anything else!

    ReplyDelete
  31. C++ should have been called B

    ReplyDelete
  32. C++ should have been called B

    ReplyDelete
  33. What is a free gift ? Aren't all gifts free?

    ReplyDelete
  34. Save the whales, collect the whole set

    ReplyDelete
  35. When there's a will, I want to be in it.

    ReplyDelete
  36. I don't suffer from insanity. I enjoy every minute of it.

    ReplyDelete
  37. Build a watch in 179 easy steps - by C. Forsberg.

    ReplyDelete
  38. C++ should have been called B

    ReplyDelete
  39. When there's a will, I want to be in it.

    ReplyDelete
  40. Thanks to author.

    ReplyDelete
  41. Give me ambiguity or give me something else.

    ReplyDelete
  42. Save the whales, collect the whole set

    ReplyDelete
  43. Oops. My brain just hit a bad sector.

    ReplyDelete
  44. 640K ought to be enough for anybody. - Bill Gates 81

    ReplyDelete
  45. Energizer Bunny Arrested! Charged with battery.

    ReplyDelete
  46. Build a watch in 179 easy steps - by C. Forsberg.

    ReplyDelete
  47. Build a watch in 179 easy steps - by C. Forsberg.

    ReplyDelete
  48. What is a free gift ? Aren't all gifts free?

    ReplyDelete
  49. Build a watch in 179 easy steps - by C. Forsberg.

    ReplyDelete
  50. What is a free gift ? Aren't all gifts free?

    ReplyDelete
  51. Clap on! , Clap off! clap@#&$NO CARRIER

    ReplyDelete
  52. C++ should have been called B

    ReplyDelete
  53. All generalizations are false, including this one.

    ReplyDelete
  54. I don't suffer from insanity. I enjoy every minute of it.

    ReplyDelete
  55. Wonderful blog.

    ReplyDelete
  56. Nice Article.

    ReplyDelete
  57. Suicidal twin kills sister by mistake!

    ReplyDelete
  58. I don't suffer from insanity. I enjoy every minute of it.

    ReplyDelete
  59. Please write anything else!

    ReplyDelete
  60. I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

    ReplyDelete
  61. Please write anything else!

    ReplyDelete
  62. A flashlight is a case for holding dead batteries.

    ReplyDelete
  63. All generalizations are false, including this one.

    ReplyDelete
  64. A flashlight is a case for holding dead batteries.

    ReplyDelete
  65. Oops. My brain just hit a bad sector.

    ReplyDelete
  66. Beam me aboard, Scotty..... Sure. Will a 2x10 do?

    ReplyDelete
  67. When there's a will, I want to be in it.

    ReplyDelete
  68. Thanks to author.

    ReplyDelete
  69. Lottery: A tax on people who are bad at math.

    ReplyDelete